[6.5 Sports Lottery] Dong Mo selected 8 strings 1 event preview on Thursday! With scores, goal prediction!

Hello everyone! I am Dong Mo, who focuses on football events, and I will continue to provide some information today! Thank you for your attention and support!

Today's event analysis:

Thursday 007 UEFA 03:00 Spain VS France

Brands

Spain and France, as traditional European football players, ranked second and third in the world in the FIFA rankings, with an overall strength of equality. Spain has an advantage with a team worth of 1.3 billion euros. It focuses on the 4-3-3/4-2-3-1 system dominated by ball control. It creates murderous intent through short pass penetration and wing breakthroughs. The ball control rate in the last 10 games is as high as 58.6%. The front line is led by Yamal, who is worth 180 million euros, and is paired with Nico Williams' wings to form a very threatening wing blasting combination. However, the team is facing a crisis of injury on the back line, with main central defenders Ruben Dias and Paul Torres absent, and the stability of the substitute defense is doubtful. France focuses on fast counterattacks with a 970 million euro lineup. The speed combination of Mbappe (170 million euros) and Dembele is the core killer, with set-piece attack accounting for 61%. However, the three main players in the defense, Saliba, Yupamecano and Conde, were all absent due to injuries, and the temporary set of central defenders has weak air defense capabilities.

Historical confrontation

The two sides have had the last 10 official encounters, and Spain has a psychological advantage with 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, especially in key battles. In the 2024 European Cup semi-finals, Spain reversed France 2-1 while lagging 0-1, showing strong ability to fight against adversity. It is worth noting that Spain has won 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in its last five home games against France, including a 2-0 victory in the 2017 friendly match. This psychological advantage of confrontation may become a key variable in a high-pressure environment.

Fighting intention

This game is the European League semi-final, and the winner will compete with Portugal for the championship. As the champion of the last European Cup, Spain urgently needs to consolidate its dominance in Europe through the European League champion; France will take the lead as the defending champion, and if it stops in the semi-finals, it will face public pressure. For Spain, the Mercedes-Benz Arena (which can accommodate 60,000 spectators) will become an important support, and if France can advance away, it will continue its "major team" resilience label. Both sides have no way out, and the tactical game will be extremely fierce.

Recent status

Spain has won 15 wins and 3 draws in the last 18 international games, including defeating strong opponents such as Germany and England, and has averaged 2.1 goals per game on the offensive end, and its ball control and suppression force (65%+) is top-notch. However, the defensive end has obvious hidden dangers. He conceded consecutive goals in the last 4 games. The substitute central defender combination is less than 15 when facing a speed forward. France has 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in the last 10 games, and its state fluctuates greatly: it relies on Mbappe's personal ability on the offensive end (contributes 7 goals in the last 6 games), but its positional combat efficiency is inefficient; it has lost 1.5 goals per game on the defensive end, and the temporary central defender combination's ability to withstand pressure has not been tested by the competition. It is worth noting that Spain has been big goals in its last 5 games, and France has scored ≥2 goals in its last 6 games, and the situation of both sides is worth looking forward to.

Conclusion: Spain is more optimistic with its home advantage, psychological accumulation and offensive sustainability (1.2 goals per game in the second half). Combining tactical game and data model, it tends to be unbeaten in Spain.

Comprehensive Recommendation:

Main Win

3-1 /3-2/ 2-1

3/4/5 Ball