Analysis and forecast of football matches on July 6: Swedish Super League Evsburg vs Hegen

Sunday 008 Elfsburg vs Hegen

From the ranking, Elfsburg (5th) and Hegen (1st) ranked "Champion Zone" and "Leading Zone", but the difference in points between the two is only 12 points (Hegen 45 points vs Elfsburg 33 points), and there is still a possibility of catching up in theory; Elfsburg needs to grab points to narrow the gap, while Hegen needs to consolidate the top position to prevent being overtaken. In terms of offense and defense data, Elfsburgs averaged 1.5 goals (6th in the league) and 1.1 goals (7th in the league), but had significant home advantage (5 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, 1.7 goals per game); Hegen is a representative of "strong offense and more stable defense" (second in the league per game, 0.8 goals per game, 1st in the league), and his away performance was also strong (4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, 1.6 goals per game). In terms of core players, Elfsburg striker Berival (10 goals) is the team's "scoring machine". He has performed "scoring points in the penalty area + long shot" many times this season. Midfielder Johnson (7 assists) averaged 9.5 key passes per game (3rd in the league), which is the starting point of the offensive; Hegen striker Carlson (12 goals) is good at speed (3.2 sprints per game), and midfielder Eriksen (8 assists) averaged 5.8 ball controls per game (2nd in the league), which is the team's "metronome". In terms of injuries, the absence of Elfsburg defender Anderson (3 rounds of injury) will weaken the left defense, and the absence of winger Nelson (1 round of suspension) will affect the breakthrough on the wing; the absence of Hegen central defender Johnson (2 rounds of injury) will lead to a decline in defense ability on the defense, but the main goalkeeper Olson (78% save success rate this season) is healthy, and there is no hidden danger to the goalkeeper position.

Elfsburg has recently experienced a slight fluctuation in form, and its record of 1 draw and 1 loss in the last two rounds is in sharp contrast to its previous 5 consecutive wins. However, the tactical system created by young coach Gillermak is still stable. With his innovative tactical philosophy and excellent on-site command, the young coach, who has attracted scouts from many Premier League and Bundesliga teams to inspect on-site. The sharp forward Yilel continues to be in a hot state. He contributed 7 goals and 1 assist in 13 appearances this season (8 starts), which is the biggest guarantee for the team's offensive end.

Hurgen is in a deep season trough, with 2 draws and 2 losses in the last four rounds of games, and obvious problems are exposed on both ends of offense and defense. Although the club is actively operating in the transfer market, signing Danish international midfielder Sanders Abbot and Swedish local scorer Swanbeck, it still takes time for the new player to run in with the team. What is even more worrying is that Hegeng performed poorly away games in the away season and has failed to take away the victory in four consecutive away games.

Reference: Main handicap negative

Score: 1-1 2-2