[Five major leagues of peeled eggs] [World-time qualifiers] Belgium VS Kazakhstan, Germany VS Northern Ireland, Türkiye VS Spain

007 [World Qualifier] Belgium vs Kazakh

In the focus of Group E of the 2026 World Cup European Qualifiers, Belgium, ranked 5th in the world, will face 114th-ranked Kazakhstan at King Baldwin Stadium in Brussels. From lineup configuration, tactical system to historical confrontations, Belgium has a crushing advantage, but Kazakhstan's defensive resilience and tactical targeting may still create local threats. The following analysis is carried out from multiple dimensions:

1. Historical confrontation: Belgium's absolute suppression

The two sides have made an unbeaten record of 4 wins and 2 draws, and the last three matches ended with Belgium's big score (3-0, 2-0, 4-1). This psychological advantage is particularly important in the critical stages of the qualifiers - Belgian players' expectations of victory have formed muscle memory, while Kazakhstan players may fall into passive defensive thinking at the opening stage. It is worth noting that Belgium has never missed when playing against Kazakhstan at home, including a 3-0 victory in the 2019 European qualifiers. This historical law of "must win at home" further strengthens Belgium's psychological advantages.

2. Lineup comparison: Belgium's luxury configuration and Kazakhstan's incomplete division

Belgium recruited core players such as De Bruyne, Courtois, and Doku, but main players such as Lukaku and Watfas were absent due to injuries. However, the addition of new generation strikers such as Oponda (RB Leipzig), Trosad (Arsenal) still keeps Belgium's offensive end deep. De Bruyne's midfield dispatch and Doku's wing breakthrough will become a key weapon to tear Kazakhstan's defense. In contrast, Kazakhstan, the main striker Zainudinov and captain Tagabegan were absent due to injury, and only Samorodov was left alone on the offensive end. Whether the intensive defense of the 5-4-1 formation can withstand the continuous impact of Belgium has become the core suspense of the game's victory or defeat.

3. Tactical game: The battle between breaking the iron barrel formation and defensive counterattack

Belgium's offensive strategy: The coach may continue the 4-2-3-1 formation, using De Bruyne's precise straightening pass and Duku's wing blast to create murderous intent. Given that Kazakhstan's 5-man defense is deep, Belgium may find a breakpoint through full-backs' forward passes (such as Munier's right cross) and midfield long shots (such as Tilemans' back-line insertion). In addition, Belgium’s offensive efficiency of 3 goals per game in the last five games and a 100% win rate at home lead show its strong offensive stability.

Kazakhstan's defensive counterattack: Due to the strength gap, Kazakhstan is likely to adopt a 5-4-1 formation, shrink the defense line to the front of the penalty area, and use the speed of winger Zainulin (has been injured and missing) to attack and counterattack. But Zainudinov's absence greatly reduced the threat of counterattack, and the team may be forced to rely on centre-back Yergaliyev's high-altitude top-square (81% success rate) and set-piece tactics. However, Kazakhstan has a weak away offense (only 1 win in the last 10 games) and a cross-success rate of only 23%, making it difficult to pose a substantial threat to the Belgian defense.

4. Data support: Comparison of institutional forecasts and offense and defense

Institutions generally open a deep disk of 3 goals / 3 and a half goals, reflecting the market's clear understanding of the strength gap between the two sides. Judging from the data, Belgium has averaged 18.6 shots in the last five games (including 8.2 shots), while Kazakhstan has averaged 14.3 shots in the last five games, which is extremely pressured to defend. In addition, Belgium has a home win rate of 70% and averaging 2.8 goals per game, while Kazakhstan has a away loss rate of 87% and averaging 2.5 goals per game. This offensive and defensive imbalance will further amplify Belgium's advantage.

5. Injuries and psychological factors: Belgium's hidden dangers and Kazakhstan's morale strike

Belgium's injuries are mainly concentrated on the front line (Lukaku, Luke Bacchio), but Oponda and Trosad's immediate combat power is enough to make up for it. In contrast, Kazakhstan's injuries are more destructive - the absence of main striker Zainudinov (the team's best scorer) and captain Tagabegan not only weakened the offensive firepower, but also hit the team's morale. This psychological gap may lead to Kazakhstan giving up resistance prematurely in the game and falling into a passive situation of being beaten.

In this game, the home team is optimistic that the home team will play successfully

Age: 30.41

009 [World-World Qualifiers] Germany vs Northern Ireland

In the focus match of the 2026 World Cup European Qualifiers, Germany, which ranks 9th in the world, will face 71st in Northern Ireland at Rhine Energy Stadium. Although Germany has the advantage in overall strength, its recent sluggish state and injury waves have weakened its advantage, while Northern Ireland has poor defense lines but has hidden resilience. The following analysis is carried out from multiple dimensions:

1. Historical confrontation: Germany's absolute suppression and psychological inertia

The two sides have been unbeaten in the last 12 official confrontations, Germany has maintained an unbeaten, winning all the last 9 times and a net win of more than 2 goals in the last 3 games. This historical crushing advantage is even more significant at home - Germany has won all the last five home games against Northern Ireland, and has a net victory of 3 goals per game. Psychologically, Northern Ireland coach O'Neal admitted Germany's strong heritage, saying that he "has the top strength even if he loses the star player", and German players' expectations of victory have formed a muscle memory. However, Germany's recent three-game losing streak (including a 0-2 upset loss to Slovakia in the World Cup) may temporarily shake this psychological advantage, but if it can quickly establish a lead at home, the historical laws may still reappear..

2. Lineup comparison: Germany's incomplete central axis and Northern Ireland's defense crisis

Germany's injury dilemma: offense and defense core Havertz, Musiara, Ter Stegen and other main players are absent, and the forward line depends on the creative connection between RB Leipzig forward Waltermad (3 goals in 6 games this season) and Wilz. On the back line, the central defender combination of Rudiger and Tower needs to make up for the right loophole of Collins (who lost the ball after the first game mistake). In the midfield, Kimmich's return to the middle may improve his possession (Germany's average possession rate of 68% in his last five games), but whether Andrish and Leverin's interception ability can limit Northern Ireland's counterattack remains to be observed.

Northern Ireland's defense line collapsed: goalkeeper Charles, main center back Ballard, and full-back Spencer were collectively injured. The substitute defense line consists of English Championship players (such as Millwall substitute Brown), and the right defense has become a fatal shortcoming. On the offensive end, the absence of the main center Reed (who scored and retired after an injury against Luxembourg) greatly reduced the counterattack efficiency. The tactics that rely on crosses from the wing (18.2 crosses per game but only 36% of the success rate) and set pieces (35% of the score) may be targeted by Germany.

3. Tactical game: The battle between the blasting of the wing and the iron barrel formation

Germany's strong attack strategy on the wing: Nagelsmann may use the 4-2-3-1 formation, using the forward insertion of Mitelstedt (left) and Gross (right) full-backs to create width, and cooperate with Werz's incisive cutting and Waltermad's fulcrum to tear the defense line. After Kimmich returns to the midfield, Germany's possession rate is expected to increase to more than 70%, but the conversion rate problem needs to be solved - Germany has averaged 16.3 shots per game in the last three World Cup qualifiers but has only scored 1 goal. Setting pieces may become the key to breaking the situation. The success rate of Rudiger and Towers in high-altitude top-square (78.6%) has a significant advantage over the average height of Northern Ireland's defense line (1.83 meters).

Northern Ireland's 5-4-1 defensive counterattack: Due to the strength gap, Northern Ireland is likely to shrink its defense line to the front of the penalty area, using the interceptions of two midfielders Flanagan and Brown (4.8 steals per game) to cut off the German midfield transmission. The counterattack end relies on a single-point blast from winger Jones (sprint speed 34.2km/h), but Reid's absence greatly reduced the ability to grab points in the middle. It is worth noting that Northern Ireland conceded as high as 75% after 60 minutes away, and physical distribution issues could lead to a final crash.

4. Data support: Germany's offensive and defensive imbalance and Northern Ireland's away risks

institutions generally have a deep set of 2.25 goals in Germany, but considering Germany's recent defensive problems (only 1 clean sheet in the last 6 games), the actual handicap strength may be slightly lower than the historical confrontation. On the offensive end, Germany has averaged 18.6 shots in the last five games but has a 44% positive rate, while Northern Ireland has averaged 14.3 shots in the last five games, which is extremely pressured to defend. On the defensive end, Germany averaged 1.8 goals per game, while Northern Ireland lost 87% away and conceded 2.5 goals per game. This offensive and defensive imbalance may amplify Germany's advantage. It is worth noting that Germany has a corner kick success rate of 34% in set-piece offense, while Northern Ireland has a set-piece defense success rate of only 76%. This data comparison may become the winner of the game.

5. Psychology and Morale: Germany's battle of redemption and Northern Ireland's will to survive

Germany is facing the pressure of "must win all to qualify directly". Nagelsmann emphasized that "attitude is more important than tactics" and communicates with the players alone to boost morale. After Kimmich returns to the midfield, the team's cohesion may rebound, but if the game cannot be defeated for a long time, the anxiety of home fans may backfire. Although Northern Ireland has a huge gap in strength, coach O'Neal said that he "will do his best to show his fighting spirit", and the team once tied Germany in the European League and had certain experience in resisting pressure. However, the incomplete defense line and the hidden dangers of away games may make it difficult to maintain a high-intensity defense for 90 minutes.

In this game, the German team is optimistic that the German team will play at home. Age: 20.31

010 [World Qualifiers] Turkey vs Spain

In the focus of Group E of the 2026 World Cup European Qualifiers, Turkey, which ranks 22nd in the world, will face Spain at the Ataturk Stadium in Istanbul. This first-class battle staged in advance is not only a "hell home" philosophy of Türkiye's home atmosphere and tough counterattack, but also a technical showdown between Spanish aesthetics and youth storm. The following analysis is carried out from multiple dimensions:

1. Historical confrontation: Spain's psychological suppression and Turkey's home resilience

In the last 11 official confrontations, Spain has an absolute advantage with 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss. In the last 8 encounters, Türkiye has not won, including a 0-3 defeat in the 2016 European Cup group stage. This historical inertia is particularly significant in the away game - Spain has won 3 and 2 draws against Turkey in its last five away games, but Turkey has a slightly decent record against Spain at home (1 win 3 draw 1 loss), of which the 2009 World Cup qualifiers were upset 2-1. Psychologically, Spanish players’ expectations of victory have formed muscle memory, while Türkiye needs to rely on the home vocals of "12th Man" to offset this disadvantage. It is worth noting that Türkiye has achieved a strong record of 6 wins and 2 draws in the last 10 home games, and the cheering of fanatical fans is regarded as the team's "invisible weapon".

2. Lineup comparison: Turkey's incomplete wing and Spain's youth storm

Turkey's lineup hidden dangers: Main winger Irmaz directly weakened his wing assault ability due to a red card in the first round. The offensive end relies on the midfield dispatch of Cialhanolu (5.2 key passes per game) with Akturkoglu's midfield encirclement, while the high-altitude top-square (78% success rate) and set-piece offense (32% of total goals) will become the key to breaking the situation. However, a 3-2 win over Georgia in the first round exposed the vulnerability of the defense line, especially the cooperation loopholes of the Mulduer and the central defender combination on the right.

Spain's lineup advantage: Although Pino and Fabian Ruiz are absent, Yamal (75% breakthrough success rate), Nico Williams (34.1km/h)'s wing blast and Oyasabal (5 goals in the last 6 games)'s sense of goal still make the offensive end full of vitality. In the midfield, Rodri's return strengthens the stability of passing control (average ball possession rate of 68% in the last 5 games and a 90% pass success rate), while the central defender combination of Laporte and Paul Torres has both confrontation and ball output. It is worth noting that Spain has hit 16 goals in its last 6 games, with offensive firepower being the best in Europe.

3. Tactical game: the ultimate showdown of intensive defense and pass-in penetration

Turkey's defensive counterattack strategy: coach Montera may use a flexibly switched formation 4-2-3-1 and 3-4-3, compressing the midfield space through interceptions between the two midfielders Karaman and Tokz (4.8 steals per game), and then using Gulaire (speed 33.8km/h) wing assault and Carhanolu's long pass transfer to create a threat. Settings will become an important weapon - 32% of Türkiye's last 10 home goals come from corners or free kicks, and Seyunju's header and Calhanolu's precise arc ball are the key link. However, Ilmaz's absence may lead to a degradation in the quality of crosses from the wing (18.2 crosses per game, with a success rate of 36%).

Text analysis, we have to look at [Five Major Leagues of Clay Egg]

Spain's pass control suppression system: De La Fuente is likely to continue the 4-3-3 formation, breaking through the wing of Yamal and Nico Williams, and cooperating with Oyasabal's middle encirclement and Merino's back row insertion. The combination of midfielder Rodri and Pedri will dominate the ball (expected possession rate of more than 70%) and find gaps in the ribs through short pass penetration. It is worth noting that Spain has secured the victory in the last 3 games within 38 minutes, showing efficient control of the game.

4. Data support: Spain's offensive efficiency and Turkey's defensive loopholes

Institutions generally offer Spain's 2.25 goals deep set, reflecting the market's clear understanding of the strength gap between the two sides. Judging from the data, Spain has averaged 16.3 shots per game in the last five games (52% positive rate), while Türkiye has averaged 14.3 shots per game in the last five games, which is extremely pressured to defend. Offensively, Spain's counterattack efficiency (0.8 counterattacks per game) and set-piece success rate (28%) are both higher than Turkey, and Turkey's defensive loopholes (1.8 goals per game) may be infinitely amplified. It is worth noting that if Spain falls behind first away, the loss rate will be as high as 80%, but they are in a stable state recently and are likely to not give Türkiye too many opportunities.

5. Injuries and psychological factors: Turkey's tragedy on the wing and Spain's unbeaten golden body

Turkey's injury strike is concentrated on the wing - Ilmaz's absence not only weakens the breakthrough ability, but may also lead to tactical imbalances, forcing the coach to use inexperienced substitutes. In contrast, Spain's injury impact is less, and the absence of Pino and Fabian can be compensated by Yamal and Merino. Psychologically, Spain has been unbeaten in 26 consecutive official games, only 3 games away from the team's record. This stability will become a heart-warming agent for their away game. Although Türkiye is very powerful at home, it has not scored in the last three matches against Spain, and the psychological shadow still needs to be overcome.

In this game, the egg is optimistic that Spain will successfully play

Age: 01.02