Friday 003 Dutch 2> Tersda vs. Dembos

Review of the focus matches of the upgraded playoffs of the Dutch second grade: Teresda tied Dunbosi away, and the suspense in the second leg was full of

Historical confrontation: Teresda has significant suppression, and Denbosi is difficult to break the curse at home

The two teams have made the last 5 confrontations, Teresda remains unbeaten with 4 wins and 2 draws, and has obvious psychological advantages. In the first leg of the regular season of this season, Teresda defeated Denbos 1-0 away. In the last first leg of the playoffs, both sides played 0-0, continuing Teresda's strong suppression. It is worth mentioning that since November 2023, Denbos has suffered three consecutive losses at home against Tersda, and his home defense line has been repeatedly penetrated by opponents' counterattacks.

Highlights of the first round: Iron-blooded defense and tactical game dominate the game

In the first round match on May 20, both sides fought for 90 minutes without scoring. Denbos tried to adjust the tactics through frequent substitutions (4 players were replaced in a row from the 53rd minute to 72nd minute), trying to strengthen the wing breakthrough, but Tersda resolved the home team's offensive with the three-center-back system and midfield interception. During the game, Tersta player Gus was yellowed due to a tactical foul, becoming the only card-showing event in the game.

Dembos has a ball possession rate of 58%, but his shooting rate is only 20%. The core forward Dumzios (6 goals in the regular season) was focused on the opponent and only once shot in the game. In contrast, despite the few shots, forward El Kachati (5 goals in the last 5 games) has used speed to hit the defense line many times, almost creating a one-on-one opportunity.

Recent status: Tersda has good offense and defense, and Dembos has doubts about his home resilience

Tersda: 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 10 games, scoring 21 goals, and averaging 2.1 goals per game, the Dutch second-tier play-off team is the best. The defensive end has closed the opponent in three consecutive games, but the hidden danger of conceding away goals remains (conceding 16 goals in the last 10 away games).

Denboss: Only 1 win in the last 7 games, averaging 1.7 goals per game on the defensive end. He narrowly defeated Kampul through overtime in the first round of the playoffs. His home resilience is still there, but his morale has been set recently and he has conceded five consecutive games.

Tactic Analysis: Wing duel and midfield strangle

Denboss (4-2-3-1): Rely on crosses and set pieces tactics on the wing, but the midfield is not creative enough and overly relies on Dumzios' single-point breakthrough. The coach tried to activate winger Felbeck through substitutions in the first round, but the results were minimal.

Telsta (4-2-3-1): Focus on fast counterattacks, the midfield double midfielder Kosval forms a barrier with Northlin, forward El Kachati and winger Hamdoy form a "double arrow" impact, and the first round successfully restricts the opponent's pass success rate in the third zone to 62%.

Key injury: potential dangers on the defense line may be left and right round trends

Denboss: Goalkeeper Chiansquek (shoulder injury) and defender Cindavins (knee injury) are absent, substitute goalkeeper Mabel's first-round save success rate is only 67%, and the stability of the defense line is worrying.

Telsda: Main defender Borna Barisic (ligament injury) is absent for a long time, but central defender Hadwild contributed 5 clearances in the first round, and his temporary partner performed steadily.

Institutional forecast: The data tends to be conservative, and the call for a draw is high

Before the first round, the mainstream organization initially gave a draw, and then rose to Terstark to give the draw half-high water, showing support for the status of the visiting team. However, the result of 0-0 in the first leg led to the adjustment of the second leg data to Dembos's home 0.25 goals, and the probability of a draw increased to 35%. In terms of the number of goals, the institution still tends to be less than 2.25 goals, which is consistent with the conservative style of the two teams in the first round.

round out: variables and opportunities in the life-and-death battle

round will be moved to Tersda at home on May 21. If Denbos wants to make a comeback, he needs to improve offensive efficiency and use set pieces to break through; Tersda needs to continue the threat of counterattack, while avoiding the amplification of the away defense loopholes. The deadlock in the first round may inspire more radical tactical choices between both sides. Half goals + total goals greater than 2 goals may become a breakthrough.