Lao Min s football match analysis on August 14: Hit the score, Udler Racing?

【Thursday 004】Udrecht vs Servette

in the first round of the new season, Udrecht played against Hercules in multiple offensive ends, and four players made a good start. In addition, the double defeat of Sharif in the UEFA Cup qualifying round and the 3-1 victory over Servette in the first leg, Udrecht scored 14 goals in the last four games, and its condition was excellent. Utrecht currently has a two-goal advantage, and this time he has a home advantage. There is basically no suspense in advancing. He will meet the winners of Zilinsky and Bereda Bilek in the play-offs. Ajivi and Iqbal missed this game due to injury.

is completely opposite to the host's hot state. Servette is currently in a low point. The Champions League qualification has been reversed, the league has lost two consecutive games. The club chose to part ways with Habery. The two temporary coaches led the team to lose in the first round. In the last round of the league, they only scored one point. Servette welcomed a new coach on Monday. Former Lille coach Jocelyn was entrusted with important tasks and he will make his debut in this game. In terms of personnel, Dulin, Antunes and Mlaz, who scored two goals this season, were absent due to injury.

The strength and condition gap between the two teams is obvious. Compared with the first round of the match, the home team is -1.25. It should be said that it gives Utrecht enough support. The data fluctuates within a reasonable range, which is a favorable trend for the home team. I tend to Utrecht to double defeat Servette.

【Thursday 001】China-Jetland vs. Frederick

【Overview of both sides】

China-Jetland played a total of 5 draws in 7 games in the new season. The title of draw master is veritable. The two games won were one in the league and the other was the first leg of the qualifying match of the third lap of the Europa League, and the team was tied by the weak team when they returned to the league. Frederick won the Norwegian Cup last season, so he won the qualifying spot for the Europa League. However, their strength and European experience are not enough, so there is a high probability that they will go to the first round.

【Special Reminder】

China and Japan participated in European games almost every year and were relatively easy to play qualifying matches.

[Psychological Error]

The market support rate for wins, draws and losses minus the corresponding result probability of each bonus, and the percentage obtained is the error value, which measures psychological error.

Win: -9%, draw: 11%, loss: -2%

[Data disassembly]

Zhongjitland won 3:1 away in the first leg. When they return to the home court, they can advance if they don’t lose two or more. The initial data gives a very deep concession of 1.25 to lock in the main winning pattern. However, from the changes in the future bonus, there is a certain risk of the home team winning a big victory. The high prize goes to the home team with a small win, and the point is over.