Saturday/028/Ligue 1 [Lorient vs Monaco] Professional analyst [Hong Xiaoyu] Chicken can also eat rice

Ligue 1 Preview: Lorient VS Monaco Score Prediction

Lorient 1-2 Monaco

Core Analysis

1. Comparison of League Situation and Fighting Intention

Lorient: Ranked 17th (second to last), 4 points (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses), 6 goals conceded 13 goals, goal difference - 7, deeply trapped in the relegation zone

Monaco: Ranked 1, 12 points (4 win, 0 draw, 1 loss), 13 goals conceded 7 goals, goal difference + 6. Leading the Ligue 1 standings

Aim for fighting spirit: Lorient urgently needs to score points at home and leave the relegation zone; Monaco strives to consolidate the top advantage of the list away from home

2. Compared with offensive and defensive data, Lorient Monaco has the lowest attacking power in the league, with only 1.2 goals per game, tied for first place in the league, with 2.6 goals per game, Monaco's defensive performance is the worst in the league, with averaging 2.6 goals per game, and a steady defense, with a per game, Monaco has only 1.4 goals per game, Monaco has only 1 point in the last 3 games, and has lost 1-7 in the last 3 games, with a 5-2 victory over Metz and Monaco, which has lost a lot of loopholes in the defensive end, with the most goals conceded in the Champions League 1-4 Losing to Bruges, but quickly adjusting Monaco

3. Home and away performance and historical confrontation

Home factors: Lorient has remained unbeaten in the first half of 12 of the last 15 home games, and has certain resilience at home

Away ability: Monaco has failed to win in 14 of its last 17 away games, and its away performance does not match the ranking

Confrontation History: In the last 7 confrontations, 5 draws, the two teams have confronted each other's "difficulty in the final 4 confrontations" situation

Goal rules: In the last 4 confrontations, they have scored exactly 4 goals in each game, forming a stable high goal mode

4. Injury and lineup impact

Lorient: As many as 7 players are injured, including the main defender Isaak Toure (ligament surgery) and Darlin Yongwa (red card suspension), severely damaged defense

Monaco: 6 players were injured, including goalkeeper Hradecky and midfield core Pogba, but the core lineup remained intact

Impact Assessment: Lorient's injuries were concentrated in the midfield and backcourt, and the defensive system was seriously damaged; although Monaco has multiple casualties, core offensive players Fati and Aklius were in good shape

5. Tactical characteristics and goal expectations

Lorient's tactics: 3-4-2-1 formation, relying on Tosin Aiyegun (3 goals in the last 4 games) and set-piece threat

Monaco's tactics: 4-2-2-2 Formation, focusing on breakthroughs on the flank and penetration on the middle, with multiple offenses blooming

Goal expectations: The two teams have produced 4 goals in their last 4 confrontations; Lorient has conceded 12 goals in their last 3 games, and their defense has collapsed; Monaco has strong attack power, averaging 2.6 goals per game

Key players: Lorient relies on Aiyegun's goal ability; Monaco relies on the offensive threat of Fati (3 goals in the last 2 games) and Akliouche

6. Gambling data and professional forecast

European losses data: main win 4.80-5.25, draw 4.20-4.60, away win 1.57-1.67

Asian handicap: Monaco Jean - 0.75 The ball, the water level is moderate, and the market is highly optimistic about the winning rate prediction of the Hospitality team: Monaco's winning rate is about 60-65%, Lorient's winning rate is about 15-20%, and the draw probability is about 20-25%

Professional consensus: Most analytical institutions predict that Monaco will win 2-1, with a total of 2-3 goals scored

Conclusion

Comprehensive analysis shows that Monaco will beat Lorient 2-1 away. The main basis is as follows:

The gap in strength and condition is obvious: Monaco's attacking power is the first in Ligue 1 (13 goals), Lorient's worst defense in Ligue 1 (conflicts 13 goals), and the gap between the two ends of the offense and defense is huge

The impact of injuries is serious imbalance: Lorient's injuries are concentrated in the midfield and backcourt, and the defense line is reorganized; although Monaco has multiple casualties, the core offensive end remains intact

The historical confrontation rules imply high goals: In the last 4 confrontations, they have scored exactly 4 goals in each game, predicting the total number of goals in this game 2-3 Individual

fighting spirit and psychological advantages: Monaco leads the standings, with obvious psychological advantages; Lorient plays at home but is in a sluggish state and lacks confidence

Tactical style restraint: Monaco's wing breakthroughs and middle penetration can effectively target Lorient's defensive loopholes; Lorient is difficult to organize an effective counterattack

game will present a pattern of Monaco leading ball control and Lorient's defensive counterattack. Monaco is expected to take the lead by taking advantage of Lorient’s defense loopholes, and Lorient may rely on Aiyegun’s personal abilities to equalize the score. In the end, Monaco scored the winning goal at the end of the game with stronger offensive efficiency and lineup depth.

Score prediction: Lorient 1-2 Monaco