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Supercomputer looks down on Real Madrid! La Liga new season forecast: Barcelona will win the championship in the past half, Alonso will face a cold first season
12:40am, 14 August 2025【Football】
Opta's supercomputer has announced its forecast of the probability that Spanish clubs will win the 2025-2026 La Liga championship.

La Liga starts this weekend, but Real Madrid will face Osasuna at the Santiago Bernabeu next Tuesday (21:00). Xavi Alonso starts his first season with great ambitions. The coach has established his style based on ball possession and high pressure.
Transfer market operations are also aimed at strengthening the team's strength: Alvaro Carreras, Dean Wyson and Trent Alexander Arnold join to consolidate the defense and improve the goal from the backcourt. Alda Guillail is expected to become the new midfielder who can dominate the game.
The icing on the cake is that young player Franco Mastantuno may make his debut on Tuesday, and he is expected to make his debut in Valdebebas tomorrow. With its reshaped lineup and potential new stars to be integrated, Real Madrid hopes to play multi-line this season. But according to Opta's prediction, the La Liga champions may still miss them.
There is no doubt that Real Madrid will face fierce competition: Barcelona has strengthened its roster and remains a terrible opponent; similarly, Atletico Madrid has strengthened during the transfer period and is determined to play the role of a disruptor. Xavi Alonso must balance young players and experienced players to inspire the team’s best form early in the La Liga.

Opta's supercomputer's ranking forecast for La Liga in the new season and the ranking probability of each team
Barcelona is a favorite to win the championship
data will not lie. According to Opta's prediction, the 2025-26 championship battle will take place between FC Barcelona and Real Madrid. The Catalan team is a favorite to win the championship, with a 46.5% chance of winning the trophy, while Real Madrid is much behind, with a probability of 32.1%.
Atletico Madrid, which has not yet won the domestic league championship since 2021, is regarded as a dark horse with a probability of only 11.7%, while Villarreal (3.7%), Athletic Bilbao (2.9%) and Real Betis (0.9%) seem to be too far away to expect to play the leading role, just like Girona two years ago.
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