51 points win, 43 points win, the favorites to win the championship fall slowly! You are really not worthy of the championship

The NBA playoffs this season enter the finals, with the Thunder and Pacers competing for the final championship. Looking back at the entire playoff journey, three points have gradually become facts. First, the NBA legendary star gradually declines as he grows older. James led the team to be swept by the Timberwolves Gentleman, and Curry suffered a hamstring injury after being exhausted after the first round. These are all good examples. Secondly, the new generation has taken over quickly, Alexander and Halliburton are typical representatives. Halliburton is expected to achieve his journey of becoming a god this season from the most overrated player voted by NBA players to the most powerful heart star in the playoffs. Last point, there is no permanent general in this league. Last season's championship Celtics will definitely dismantle the team this year; the 23-year championship Nuggets have all been empty.

Due to the league's salary standards, teams that win the championship often have several super top salaries, which is also the beginning of the team's decline! This season, the league is recognized as the favorite to win the championship. It has won 68 wins and 14 losses in the regular season. It swept the Grizzlies 4-0 in the first round of the playoffs, and defeated the Nuggets 4-3 in the second round. The gentleman swept the Timberwolves 4-1 in the Western Conference Final. It seems that only the Nuggets have put some pressure on them. But in the finals G1, the Thunder lost at home and led by 15 points in the fourth quarter, their probability of winning was once more than 96.4%, and they were eventually defeated by Halliburton! The Pacers have escaped from death four times in the playoffs, playing against the Bucks in the last game, and they fell behind by 7 points in the last 35 seconds to complete the reversal; in the second game against the Cavaliers, Halliburton took a three-pointer and scored a decisive move!

, including the Knicks' last 3 minutes of the Knicks, the probability of reversal is only 0.3%, and they did it. In addition, it was a 15-point reversal against the Thunder. According to US media calculations, the probability of the Pacers' reversal in all four games is 1 in 1.5 million! The Bucks, Cavaliers and Knicks have obvious shortcomings. Why can't the Thunder beat the Pacers as the strongest team this season? Let’s start with several sets of data. In this year’s playoffs, many games lost their suspense early in the fourth quarter. A typical example is the first round of G1, winning 51 points, almost breaking the record of 58 points in the playoffs! In the second round, he was beaten by Gordon in the first game and vented his anger by defeating the Nuggets in the second game with a 43-point victory! Including a 32-point victory in the tiebreak, there are also examples of a 30-point victory in the Timberwolves.

Let Thunder find its own rhythm, and its opponents are often vulnerable. The rhythm that the Thunder likes is: use extremely strong defensive pressure to drive counterattacks, reduce positional battle rounds, and increase fast attack success rate. As the core of the team, Alexander averaged 31.4 points per game after training with the Nuggets series, and he had a strong dominance and everything seemed to be smooth sailing. But the Thunder is a team that is very bad at playing against the wind. Anyone can do the icing on the cake, and this is the case in the regular season. The Thunder averaged 7 double-digit players, Jewe averaged 22 points per game, Homgren averaged 15 points per game, and Harten + Isiaggio + Dortmund + Wiggins can do it. But in the playoffs, the Thunder averaged three double-digit players: Alexander + Javier + Homgren, and all the others' data shrank!

Why does this happen? First of all, the Thunder team is too young. Apart from Caruso, the playoff experience of others is basically a blank piece of paper, including Alexander, the league's number one player this season, and he is not very adapted to the stricter dictatorship standards in the playoffs. The Thunder did not have positional combat and attack, and Alexander himself was not efficient. He relied more on the offensive and defensive transformation driven by the team. When it came to positional combat, the Thunder did not have a decent way of attacking and launching. Secondly, the two-tower system of Harten and Homgren was originally designed for the Mavericks. The Mavericks did not make the playoffs and were indeed used to play against the Timberwolves. But facing the fact that everyone in the Pacers can shoot three-pointers + hit the basket, Harten became a substitute, and Homegren himself couldn't defend the basket. Alexander, the core of the team, scored 38 points in the finals, was an accident. Because the Thunder lost many games in the playoffs, Alexander was silent. He defeated the Thunder in G3 against the Timberwolves G3, with Alexander only scored 14 points; in G3 against the Nuggets G3, Alexander scored only 18 points. However, when Alexander was fully fired, the Thunder Double Tower became a double-edged sword, and it was not possible to go up, and it was even worse if it was not up; the team lacked the second stable scoring point, and the match between Jewish and Sika was not enough in height and strength, so they could only frequently foul the opponent to stop the opponent, and Homgren was even more invisible. When the Thunder need to count on Dortmund and Caruso to score, it proves that they have lost, and the upper limit of this lineup is limited.

The Thunder are full of controversy this season, with Alexander's call for preferential treatment, and the league turned a blind eye to many fouls in Dortmund, including the home treatment the Thunder enjoyed. But they are indeed not worthy of the championship! In two aspects, Alexander lacks helpers, and Jewish is almost at a loss; the overall height of the Thunder is insufficient, and perhaps the Grizzlies, Timberwolves and even the Nuggets cannot effectively target the Thunder, but the Pacers have too rich configurations, and the Thunder cannot match from the starter to the substitute. They are all left with defensive oppressiveness, but no one scores! The Thunder slowly falls. Maybe they can become the league's overlords in the next 3-5 years, but this season, the Pacers are expected to win the championship.