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Average 30 points + 4 three-pointers, the league's number one! The NBA super talent No. 1 pick, is going to lead the team to the championship
9:06am, 30 April 2025【Basketball】
This season's playoffs have started for more than a week, and the overall pattern of the first round has been basically finalized. The top four teams in the Eastern Conference, the Cavaliers, Celtics, Knicks and Pacers, it's only a matter of time before they advance. Of course, the Cavaliers and Celtics are both crushing their opponents; the Pacers beat the master to death by random punches, and Antetokounmpo is unable to support it; the Knicks won two consecutive away games with the referee's call, but their main physical fitness was severely overdrawn, and there was no upper limit. The performance of the top four in the East is relatively stable, but the opposite is true in the West. In addition to the Thunder eliminating the Grizzlies 4-0 early and advancing to the district semi-finals, every family has a difficult lesson from the Rockets in the regular season to the fourth-place Nuggets.
The Rockets did not attack, the Lakers did not defend, and the Nuggets had no one on the bench. If they were eliminated in the first round this season, they would also set an NBA record. In contrast, the Warriors, who ranked fifth in the Western Conference to seventh in the Clippers, performed well overall. The Clippers' shortcomings are not the players, but Tyron Lue, they always like to use the three-guard style to lose rebounds, and they will not change after repeated guidance. Although the Warriors Butler suffered serious injuries, they were able to return in time, and it was not a big problem for the team to pass the Rockets level. But the most surprising thing is the Timberwolves. Before the playoffs started, ESPN organized 10 experts to make predictions on the Lakers and Timberwolves series, and all chose the Lakers to advance. After 4 games, the Timberwolves led the Lakers 3-1 with a score of 3-1, and it was only a matter of time before they advanced.
First of all, in NBA history, the team with a 3-1 leading score has a final record of 275 wins and 13 losses, with a probability of promotion exceeding 95.5%! Secondly, based on the modeling predictions given by the US media "BR", the probability of the Timberwolves eliminating the Lakers is 93.4%, and the probability of the Lakers advancing is only 6.6%! To be honest, this prediction is very accurate, because before the series started, "BR" gave the probability of advancing in this round of series, the Timberwolves was 71%, and the Lakers were only 29%! Why are the Timberwolves so strong? Of course, we have to start with the team boss Edwards. Since entering the playoffs, Edwards has averaged 30 points, 8 rebounds and 6 assists per game, with a shooting percentage of 45% + 43% + 82% in three events. Among them, they scored 16 three-pointers in the first four games, ranking first in the league!
hit the critical moment, Edwards' three-time shooting percentage was as high as 66.7%+100%+100%, and his real shooting percentage was still the best in the league, and he averaged 5 points per game at critical moments! In the words of US media, Edwards is the young version + super enhanced version of Butler, with averaging 23.9 points per game in his regular season and 28 points per game in his career playoffs! Since entering the league as the No. 1 pick in 20 years, he was a supporting role in the first season, and the Timberwolves missed the playoffs; in the second season, Edwards averaged 21 points per game to the first round of the playoffs; in the third season, he averaged 24.6 points per game but stopped in the first round, but last season he led the team to the Western Conference Finals! Since entering the league, Edwards has been well deserved the title of Iron Man, playing at least 72 games per season, without any major injuries! When Edwards first entered the league, the scouts reported that they had no projection and lacked decision-making ability. All other aspects are top-notch NBA levels. After several years of polishing, Edwards averaged 4.1 three-pointers and 39% three-point shooting percentage this season, and he can go further in the playoffs. You should know that he did not get as many free throws as Alexander, and he is often fined by the league for criticizing the referee, but he has grown into an all-round hexagon fighter. Towns left in the offseason last year, and Randle and Divinsonzo joined. It is generally believed that the Timberwolves' strength has declined, but the Timberwolves' final record is 49 wins and 33 losses, only one win away from the third-place Lakers.
In the playoffs, Edwards broke out, Randle and Divincenzo averaged 30 points per game, McDaniels averaged 20 points per game, Timberwolves' overall forward confrontation and height, inside advantage, and Edwards' all-around attributes, the Lakers really can't beat. There is another data worth pondering: In this round of the series between the Lakers and the Timberwolves, when Edwards was away, the offense and defense efficiency of both teams was 114.5, and they tied. But when Edwards was on the court, the Timberwolves could beat the Lakers 9.2 points in a hundred rounds! Compared with Butler, Edwards' projection, his younger physical condition and durability have greatly increased the team's ceiling. And the underrated Randall has also helped the Timberwolves win 25 games in the past 30 games.
Judging from the prediction given by the US media "BR", the probability of the Timberwolves advancing to the division final is 52.2%, second only to the Thunder in the entire West; the probability of the Timberwolves winning the Western Conference is 8.0, and the probability of winning the championship is 2.4%, which is only lower than the Thunder in the West. The Thunder is the only level, and the Timberwolves itself occupy the second level. In addition, the Timberwolves are not afraid of the Thunder. In the last time the two sides faced each other this season, the Timberwolves completed a 25-point super reversal! After Edwards stopped in the Western Conference Final last summer, he said that he would lead the team to the championship next season. The Lakers are almost defeated. As the No. 1 pick in the NBA, Edwards, who is not as controversial as Alexander, and he cannot get the favor of the whistle, but he also wants to lead the team to the championship.
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