Bold prediction, never been approved, Tencent guests predicted NBA championship, 34 people have been eliminated

In the NBA playoffs ending today, the Knicks defeated the Celtics and advanced to the Eastern Conference Finals with a score of 4-2, and will compete with the Pacers for the Eastern Conference championship.

NBA playoffs are currently the Nuggets vs Thunder's tiebreaker, and the other three groups are over, the Timberwolves 4-1 Warriors, Pacers 4-1 Cavaliers, and Knicks 4-2 Celtics.

In other words, so far, only the last 5 teams are left to win the championship! They are Pacers, Knicks, Timberwolves, Thunder, and Nuggets.

Regularly speaking, there are 16 teams in the NBA playoffs. The accuracy rate of the championship in that season should be at least 1/16, or about 6%. However, over the past few years, the accuracy rate of Tencent guests' predictions has always been very low.

Before the start of this year's playoffs, Tencent guests made another prediction, with a total of 43 people participating.

18 people support the Celtics to win the championship. Sorry, the defending champion can't even enter the Eastern Conference Finals. There is actually no hope when he was 0-2 behind at home.

6 people support the Thunder to win the championship, and there is still hope.

6 people support the Lakers to win the championship. It has to be said that many people support the Lakers every year, and they don’t look at the Lakers’ lineup and performance. But unfortunately, there is no miracle. The Lakers were eliminated 1-4 in the first round and encountered the Miracle 6.

5 people supported the Clippers to win the championship, which was better than the Lakers, but they were beaten by the Nuggets in the fourth game and were eliminated in the first round of 7.

3 people support the Warriors to win the championship, which is basically true love. The Warriors rank 7th in the Western Conference and dare to predict the Warriors to win the championship. However, this is much better than the Lakers and Clippers. At least it has played in the second round, and if Curry is not injured, he might be able to go further.

3 people support the Nuggets to win the championship. These three people should be very nervous about watching these two rounds of the series. They both scored 7 in both rounds, but at least there is still hope.

One other person supports the Bucks and one supports the Cavaliers, and they are basically cannon fodder.

Summary, 12 of the 43 guests were eliminated in the first round, accounting for nearly 30%, which is indeed outrageous. At least 25 people will be eliminated in the second round, accounting for more than half, which is also outrageous.

In other words, after the second round of the game, Tencent's 43 guests will only have 6 left at most, and at least 3.

The three teams that have reached the division finals, the Knicks, Pacers, and Timberwolves, have no choice, and no one is optimistic that they can win the championship. Instead, there are people who support the Thunder and the Nuggets.

According to simple probability, if 16 teams join 4 teams, the probability is 25%. In other words, if you just want to choose 1,000 people who don’t understand the ball at all, there will be 250 people who still have the hope of guessing correctly. The "retention rate" of Tencent guests is at most 14% and at least 7%, and they can’t even reach the average probability. What does this mean?

Actually, everyone understands it, it just depends on how happy it is. If you really believe these guests, that is SC.