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Not favored but entered the tiebreak! Pacers chased the legendary hope of reversal

10:35pm, 26 June 2025【Basketball】

In a crucial tiebreak battle, the Pacers have a chance of winning the championship with only 25%. However, they just used a strong 30-point offensive to turn the Thunder's home atmosphere into a silent library.

Don't rush to close the page! This Pacer, who was almost sentenced to death in the eyes of the media, staged a surprising counterattack in the life and death game 48 hours ago. They suppressed the Thunder's shooting percentage to 39% through tough defense, allowing MVP candidate Alexander to make frequent mistakes on the court, and handed over 8 mistakes in a single game. They led by 30 points early before the third quarter, forcing the Thunder's home fans to leave early.

What is even more shocking is that although Halliburton, the core of the Pacers, exerted force under the trouble of the strained calf, and although the shooting percentage in the first quarter was only 1 of 5 shots, he squatted at the ice pack to command the team's offense, leading the team's six players to double the score, showing an unusual team spirit. Although experts are skeptical about their prospects, the US media PLM predicts that the Pacers will have a chance of winning in tiebreaks of only 25%, even lower than the result of coin throws.

The reason is also very clear: historical data show that the winning rate of the home team in the finals is as high as 78.9%, while the Pacers' historical performance in the tiebreak is frustrating, with only 4 wins and 6 losses. In addition, the Thunder's home winning rate this season is 62.4%, while the Pacers' away winning rate is less than 38% - in this case, it naturally makes people feel the atmosphere of "must lose".

The hidden danger of injury hangs above the pedestrian's head. How serious is Halliburton's right calf strain? The team doctor privately revealed: "If he is in the regular season, he will need to have a three-week rest." In G6, he will immediately apply ice after every time he gets off the court, and the breakthrough speed has significantly slowed down. Center Turner, under the influence of a high fever, even failed to hit a goal in the first quarter, almost becoming the team's shortcomings. However, when the Thunder believed that they could easily win, the Pacers' bench exploded - Toppin's three-point shooting percentage was as high as 80%, scoring 20 points, McConnell also showed the style of a "stealing maniac". He cut the ball continuously in a short period of time, increasing the psychological pressure of the Thunder.

Pacers successfully locked in the Thunder core Alexander, making him only able to hand over two assists, and caused the three-point shooting rate of other Thunder players to drop to 9%. Jaylen Williams, who exploded in G5, had a positive and negative value of -40 this time, setting a record low. This game without any life or death atmosphere is more like a teaching match for the Pacers. They successfully scored 14 frontcourt rebounds, achieving a second offensive score of 16 points more than the Thunder.

Although the 25% winning rate sounds harsh, the Cavaliers, who had experienced the miracle in 2016, were 1-3 behind, and ESPN gave a reversal probability of only 3%. In the end, James and Irving scored 41 points respectively, reversing the situation. Now the Pacers face the same challenge, with the core of fighting with injuries and MVP-level opponents. Coach Carlisle almost perfectly replicates Tyron Lu's tactics, reducing star singles, and allowing Sika to support him at a low post. The entire team reached 25 assists, tearing the Thunder's defense line.

The tension was already filled with the locker room of the Russian City. Thunder coach Dagenut's timeout in G6 was like "extinguishing the fire". Facing McConnell's 8-point attack, he has not found an effective countermeasure. Relatively speaking, the Pacers' locker room was uniform, with a new slogan hanging: "Forget the probability and create a legend!" Halliburton shouted loudly with his limp leg: "They said our winning rate is only 25%? Then engrave this number on the championship trophy!" It is more worth mentioning that McConnell just set an NBA record and became the first player to win 60 points, 25 rebounds and 15 assists on the finals bench, and the weight of the number even surpasses the winning rate.

It is worth noting that the referee report implies that the Thunder may face serial problems. In the last two minutes of G6, he missed the Thunder three times, but they were already 30 points behind at that time, which was useless. The away team winning rate in the game of the tiebreaker Tony Bradds enforced the law is only 38%. If the Pacers want to win, they need to challenge this statistics.

There are long lines in front of the stalls of popular T-shirts, and mathematical formulas are printed on the back of the clothes: (100%-25%)×6 people are on the double = champion. At three o'clock in the morning, the lights in the training hall were still bright. Siakam practiced a three-pointer at a corner of the field. Every sound of hitting the wall echoed in the empty night. He experienced a tiebreak defeat in the Raptors last year, and now he is full of confidence and sneered: "Data? This thing can't stop me."