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Rockets and Warriors series, do the Rockets still have a chance? What is the key to winning the Rockets?

5:01pm, 9 May 2025【Basketball】

On May 1, the Rockets defeated the Warriors at home with 131:116, and the score of the series was rewritten to 2:3. On the one hand, the Warriors are still optimistic in this round of the series. The winning rate of the G6 in the ESPN series is predicted: the Warriors are 66.1%, and the Rockets are 33.9%.

At present, the series score is 2:3, and the next game will be played at the Warriors' home court Chase Center. In this round of series, the Rockets have not won the ball at the Chase Center. It is quite difficult for the Rockets to win the ball. It is even more difficult for the Rockets to win this round of series. So what is the key point for the Rockets to win the next game?

From the current perspective, in this round of series, the Rockets won the two games in different ways:

G2: The Rockets won mainly in two points: Jaylen Green performed extremely well, and the Rockets' three-point shooting efficiency was good

G4: The key to the Rockets winning was: the team's offensive efficiency was excellent, the shooting efficiency was good, and the whole people were soldiers; the defensive end was excellent in the defensive rotation, the defensive intensity was excellent, and the defensive strategy was extremely targeted.

In this round of series, the Rockets want to win or even advance, the key point lies in two points: cut off Curry, or cut off the bonus Curry brings to other players.

In this round of series, the Rockets did not do well in defending Curry. The Rockets used three players Amen, Dillon and Van Vleet to defend Curry alone, but they could not limit Curry, especially Curry played pick-and-roll with the center. The Rockets often moved slowly in a slow manner. The Rockets often used a strategy of protecting the center and adopting a double-team strategy, which prompted Curry to bring more opportunities for other players to open positions, as well as opportunities for downs or cuts in. Kerr's rich offensive arrangement and offensive system prompted the Rockets' subsequent defensive rotation often failed, resulting in the Warriors' advanced offensive system, resulting in the Rockets' defense being able to stay in the first defense and the second defense. The subsequent defense cannot match the Warriors' diverse offensive system.

In other words, the Rockets defend the Warriors, limit Curry, or because of Curry's restraint, create a large number of opportunities for other teammates to attack open spaces. It is difficult for the Rockets to take into account both of these two points, more or less, are not doing well.

The Rockets' best defenders, Amen or Dillon, are difficult to limit Curry. Curry's outstanding scoring ability and offensive ability are the biggest problem for the Rockets on the defensive end.

Offensive end: The Rockets' bigger problem is the star level and insufficient space

The Rockets' number one star in the playoffs is currently Shin Kyung. Shin Kyung can guarantee the team's lower limit, but cannot increase the team's upper limit. Shin Kyung's shooting threat is not great, and more low-post back-playing, as well as high-level requirements to break through, and after encountering the opponent's attack or double-team, the offensive role is greatly reduced.

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The Rockets' No. 2 star was originally the most likely one, Jaylen Green, but only G2 played well in the entire series, and the Warriors were defended tightly in other games. Moreover, Jaylen Green, the Warriors' single defense is currently very struggling. Whether it is shooting from the outside or breaking through the ball, he does not have a high desire to restrain or lead the star bonus, and he cannot stand out at critical moments. For this reason, Uduka abandoned Jaylen Green in the second half and even the entire fourth quarter of the series, especially in the final stage. Jaylen Green was not present.

The Rockets want to win or win this series, and their defensive resources are already very stable, they can only increase their chances of winning through the offensive end. Either Jaylen Green becomes hard and becomes the point where the Warriors' defense is unsolvable, or other Rockets' players have high offensive efficiency and good outside shooting feel. This is the Rockets' G5 winning. Of course, among the Rockets' players, Van Vleet and Jaylen Green are both players with extremely poor offensive stability. They were first won by the Warriors in the series match point. Without fault tolerance, the Rockets need Jaylen Green and Van Vleet to be hardened in the remaining games, or the whole team is hardened. This is the password for the Rockets to win, and it is also the key to the Rockets' victory to reverse the series.