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Two groups 2-0 one-sided! US media updates the probability of winning the championship after G2: Timberwolves 3.5% tops the list and tops the list and more than 82%
4:11pm, 24 May 2025【Basketball】
The East-West Finals scored 2-0 and one-sided! After the G2 of the series ended, the US media "theanalyst" announced the latest probability of winning the championship based on big data updates, with the Timberwolves falling to 3.5% and the Thunder leading the way in the top spot.
East-West Finals are as follows: Thunder 2-0 Timberwolves;
East Finals: Pacers 2-0 Knicks.
4th place: Timberwolves
Final probability: 4.9%
Champions chance: 3.5%
Timberwolves lagged behind 0-2, but the two games lost were away games. The playoffs started with away wins, so there seems to be some controversy in the Timberwolves' bottom.
But judging from the content of the game, it is not surprising that the Timberwolves was underestimated. If the G1 defeated the wrong way, the referee could also blame the call, and the referee strictly controlled the confrontation scale and caused the Timberwolves to lose one of the few advantages, then the G2 Timberwolves would be a complete defeat.
When the referee no longer controlled the confrontation, the Timberwolves lost the game again, revealing multiple problems that are difficult to solve in a short period of time.
The first problem is the lack of a reliable second ball holding point. Apart from Edwards, the Timberwolves cannot find a second player who can break through the Thunder's defense with the ball. Randle should have played this role.
Helplessly, in the first two games of the series, facing the Thunder team, which was not at a loss for physical confrontation and small defense and big defense, Randall, who performed bravely in the first two rounds, lost the game rhythm, and G2 even scored a pitiful 6 points with only 2 of 11 shots.
In addition, the Timberwolves seem to have many outside shooters, but in fact they lack stability. Especially in the face of the Thunder's top defensive resources, the Timberwolves' three-point shooters' stability is obviously insufficient, so the probability of both events has dropped below 5%.
3rd place: Knicks
Final probability: 21.9%
Champions chance: 4.1%
Compared with the Timberwolves who lost consecutive away games, the Knicks' situation is more embarrassing. They lost two home games in the first two games of the series and will fly to the away game with a big score of 0-2, and may not be able to bring the series back to Big Apple City. The Knicks' offense in the first two games of the
series were not a big problem, but the defensive end was completely slapped by the Pacers. The reason was very simple. They used 8-man rotation for a long time, and 7 of them were the Knicks who were the core rotation, and it was difficult to fight against the Pacers who were 9-10-man rotation.
If the Knicks cannot open the score in the first two quarters, then as the game progresses and the fatigue in the second half increases, the Pacers will gradually control the situation, and this situation will further intensify as the series progresses, which is extremely unfavorable to the Knicks.
Second place: Pacers
The probability of winning the championship: 9.8%
Because of winning the 2-0 big score advantage in the away game, the probability of the Pacers occupying 78.1% of the final is justified, but the probability of winning the championship is only 9.8% and is still considered to be disgrace.
Especially Halliburton hit a draw and a final victory at critical moments time and time again. The Pacers remained unbeaten at critical moments (within 5 points in the last 5 minutes) with 7 wins and 0 losses.
plus the second-in-command Sika continued to explode, coach Carlisle won the 81st career victory and rose to tenth in history, as well as his terrifying lineup depth and reasonable rotation, I believe that the Pacers will continue to slap the outside world in the face of their underestimation of them.
No. 1: Thunder
Final probability: 95.1%
Champion probability: 82.6%
Big data can be said to be one-sided optimistic about the Thunder. The reason is very simple. The Thunder is indeed leading the way in terms of advanced data and lineup configuration.
Especially in the Western Conference semi-finals defeating the experienced Nuggets, Alexander completely continued his dominance until after the playoffs. As long as there are no large-scale injury problems, the Thunder are theoretically the most likely team to win the championship.
Among the remaining four teams, the Thunder have an absolute advantage in terms of star quality, lineup depth, and offense and defense balance.
The specific probability is as follows
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