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Three draws and one loss! Arsenal is 1 point away from entering the Champions League, Manchester City won t be enough, Chelsea may miss the chance

8:54pm, 14 May 2025【Football】

The 36th round of the Premier League ended, and Liverpool, the top spot, staged a classic "catch and release Cao", and Arsenal won a valuable point, only 1 point away from the Champions League qualification. The three draws and one loss in the Premier League quarterfinals have made the Champions League competition a little chaotic, and even Manchester City will not be easy. Chelsea's situation is the most serious.

In this round, Arsenal became the second team to welcome the new champion. Unlike the last round, Liverpool scored two goals in two minutes, which once fell silent for a while. However, the situation changed suddenly in the second half, Liverpool seemed to be "feeling mercy". Arsenal stubbornly tied the score and got a very important point, only one point away from the Champions League qualification. However, the suspension brought by Merino's red card may bring some hidden worries to the Gunners with disorganized lineup.

Like Arsenal, Manchester City and Nottingham Forest can only end with a draw, draw with two relegated teams Southampton and Leicester City respectively, missing such a critical 2 points. I wonder if it will bring serious consequences to both teams. Manchester City's situation is a little more optimistic, while Nottingham Forest is in jeopardy, winning only 1 game in the last six league games, and sliding directly from third place with a lot of leads to seventh place. After the game, Nottingham Forest owner Marinakis rushed into the field and had some disputes with head coach Nuno, and seemed not very satisfied with the draw. As commentators, Carragher and Neville criticized such a move as a farce. Perhaps Marinakis forgot how Nuno helped the team successfully relegation last season, and probably didn't understand that Forest is actually a relegation team. He should applaud and thank the players instead of making a public debut in front of all fans. After all, everything is not over and hope remains.

However, Nottingham Forest is not the worst, Chelsea is. The last round of defeating champion Liverpool may have been just because of the opponent's slackness. In this round, Chelsea lost a key "6-point battle" away. After ending the three-game winning streak, Chelsea not only gave Newcastle the third place, but also cast a shadow on its prospects for Champions League qualification.

After this round, Arsenal, who was second-placed (68 points), did not qualify for the Champions League, followed by Newcastle (66 points) and Manchester City (65 points). Chelsea and Aston Villa have 63 points, while Nottingham Forest has only 62 points. These six teams will compete for 4 Champions League places, 1 Europa League, and a Europa League or Europa League or Europa League.

The situation of the opponents in the last two rounds is as follows:

Arsenal: Newcastle and Southampton

Newcastle: Arsenal and Everton

Manchester City: Bournemouth and Fulham

Chelsea: Manchester United and Nottingham Forest

Aston Villa: Tottenham and Manchester United

Nottingham Forest: West Ham and Chelsea

Among them, Manchester City will participate in the FA Cup final next, and will face Crystal Palace at Wembley Stadium, and the weekend's league will be postponed to the middle of next week. Chelsea only went to Poland to participate in the European League final three days after the finale in the Premier League, and their opponent was Real Betis of La Liga.

From the point of view, the sixth-place team has only 69 points at most. At the same time, because Arsenal, Newcastle, Manchester City and Chelsea have great goal difference advantages, if these four teams can reach 69 points, from the reality, they can basically lock in the UEFA Champions League qualification.

On the weekend, Arsenal played against Newcastle at home. Arsenal can score 69 points as long as he wins a draw. Even if he loses, he will be easy to score 1 point in the last round. If Newcastle wins, he will have 69 points and can return to the Champions League after two years. If Manchester City only wins one of the remaining two games, they will only have 68 points, which is not very safe. One win and one draw can only be achieved. After all, Bournemouth still has hope of participating in the European Union. In three key games within 8 days, Guardiola will definitely not be easy to achieve the goal of winning and UEFA Champions League.

Chelsea, Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest, which have a lower score, are likely to have only one team to participate in the Champions League. Villa's two opponents happen to be the team in the Europa League final. The Premier League has "give up" and has a great chance of getting 6 points. Chelsea and Nottingham Forest meet in the last round. If the two teams still have hope, this is an absolute Champions League "qualification match".

Judging from the recent situation, Villa and Forest may have a higher chance of entering the Champions League than Chelsea. Arsenal, Newcastle and Manchester City have three teams with leading points. As long as they are not careless, there is no big problem in participating in the Champions League. Next season's Premier League, with the top five in the league, and perhaps the last in the relegation zone, six teams can appear on the top stage in Europe.