Wednesday 008 US > Washington VS New England

1. Historical confrontation record

According to official statistics from the American League, the two teams have had 54 historical confrontations, with Washington United at a disadvantage with 18 wins, 12 draws and 24 losses, but they have maintained 1 win and 1 draw against the New England Revolution in their last two home games.

Key Battle:

March 26, 2023: Washington United lost 1-2 to the New England Revolution at home, and visiting winger Justin Leonards scored the winning goal.

September 16, 2024: Washington United takes 2-1 revenge at home, high center Christian Benteke scores twice.

Note: In the last 5 encounters, Washington United has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses at home, and the New England Revolution has a 33% away win rate.

2. Tactical style analysis

Washington United System and core: Head coach Troy Lesne plays the 4-2-3-1 formation, emphasizing wing breakthroughs and set pieces tactics. High center Benteke (6 goals and 2 assists) is an offensive fulcrum, good at using headers and in front of the goal to create threats; midfielder Mattus Pereira undertakes organizational slew tasks, averaging 2.1 key passes per game.

Offensive features: Average 12.8 shots this season, accounting for 25% of the set pieces, but only scored 2 goals in the last 3 games, and the offensive efficiency has declined significantly.

Defensive hidden dangers: The main central defender Steven Burnbaum (rib fracture) is absent for a long time, the substitute central defender combination has weak air defense capabilities, and the success rate of high-altitude top-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-

New England Revolution

System and Core: Adopt a 3-5-2 defensive counterattack formation, relying on the creativity of wingbacks to the midfield core Carls Gill (4 goals and 6 assists). Jill's pass success rate per game is 83%, which is a key hub for the team's offensive initiation.

Offensive features: Average 11.5 shots per game this season, ranking fourth in the Eastern Conference in counterattack efficiency, but lacks stability in away offense (1.2 goals per game).

Defensive hidden dangers: The central defender combination Henry Kessler and Joel Waterman are slow to turn and are easily targeted by high center forwards. They conceded 7 goals in their last 5 games.

III. Recent starting lineup (as of May 25, 2025)

Washington United (4-2-3-1)

Goalkeeper: Jin Junhong (No. 1)

Defender: Alon Herrera (No. 22), Tubbs (No. 16), Bartlett (No. 3), David Schneger (No. 28)

Midfielders: Brandon Sevania (No. 23), Boris Ino (No. 6), Joe Gabriel Martins Pegro (No. 7), Rida Zoshire (No. 44)

Forwards: Jacob Murrell (No. 17), Christian Benteke (No. 20)

Note: This lineup is 5 On 25th, the starter with a New York Red Bull 2-2 draw, Benteke may miss the game due to an ankle sprain.

New England Revolution (3-5-2)

Goalkeeper: El Edwards (36)

Defender: Henry Kessler (4), Joel Waterman (15), De Juan Jones (24)

Midfielders: Ita Finkold (12), Matt Polster (8), Carls Gill (10), Payton Miller (25)

Forwards: Taiyan Buchanan (17), Alles Monis (49)

Note: This lineup is the starter of the San Jose earthquake on May 18, with midfielder McNamara absent due to a hamstring injury.

4. Injury status (official announcement)

Washington United

Injuries: Forward Christian Benteke (ankle sprain, missed for several weeks), midfielder Pirani (knee injury), defender Lucas McNaughton (muscular contusion).

Questions: Whether winger Yuya Kubo (leg fatigue) can play is doubtful.

Impact Assessment: Benteke's absence leads to a lack of front fulcrum, and the wing defense may become a loophole.

New England Revolution

Injuries: Midfielder McNamara (hamstring injury), forward Campana (knee surgery), defender Gustavo Boo (torn cruciate ligament).

Suspension: None.

Impact Assessment: Midfield interception ability is weakened, and the offensive end depends on Gill and Buchanan's personal abilities.

V. Institutional support dynamic

data reference

mainstream institutions: Washington United winning odds are 1.66 (corresponding probability 60%), New England Revolution away win odds are 4.80 (corresponding probability 21%), and draw odds are 4.15.

Historical data: Institutions have strong support for Washington United's home 0.5/1 goal, with 2 wins and 1 loss in the last 3 times.

Market tendency: Betfair trading volume shows that 68% of funds flowed to Washington United's main victory, and institutions have a high recognition of their home court advantages.

6. Summary of key influencing factors

Home effect: Washington United's home winning rate this season is 67% (4 wins and 2 draws), Audi averages 1.8 goals per game, with an advantage in home momentum.

Tactical Game: Washington United needs to use Pereira's midfield dispatch and wing breakout to suppress their opponents, while the New England Revolution needs to create counterattack opportunities through Jill's pass and Buchanan's speed.

Lineup Depth: Washington's joint front line lacks major generals, New England Revolution midfield control has declined, and both teams have hidden dangers in the defense line.

Information description: All data in this article are from the official website of the MAF, club announcements and authoritative sports media (such as ESPN, Fan House), ensuring the authenticity and reliability of the content.. For the relevant updates of the competition, please refer to the official release before the game.

(This article does not contain any prediction content, and is only organized based on objective data.)