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NBA data website predicts the probability of winning the championship: The Warriors are only 1.8%, and the Celtics are still optimistic about the fall behind 0-2
7:46pm, 14 May 2025【Basketball】
In the NBA, whenever the playoffs arrive, the sports media will make predictions about the championship. Although there are occasional prediction errors, their predictions are still very reliable most of the time, especially some authoritative media, such as the BBR we talked about today. It is an NBA data website. After the eight teams in the second round of the playoffs have played G2 in the series, they have also updated the latest probability of winning. Let's take a look. Although the Eighth Warriors
Warriors are now 1-1 with the Timberwolves, they have buried their shadows because of Curry's injury. The news from famous reporter Shams is that he believes that Curry can only come back in G6 in the end, which means that the Warriors need to at least win a game with their residual formations until Curry returns. The key is that the offensive ability of the Warriors without Curry is too limited, and it is difficult to win. In G2, they lost to their opponents. They had a crushing defeat this season, but injuries hindered them. Their probability of winning was only 1.8%.
The Seventh Pacers are now leading the Cavaliers 2-0, but they are still not optimistic about winning the championship. Even if they are leading the score now, the US media predicts that the Pacers will reach the division finals by only 50%. In other words, under the current circumstances, they and the Cavaliers are considered to be the probability of reaching the Eastern Conference Finals by 55. The Pacers can lead the Cavaliers by a large score mainly because the Pacers can match the physical and firepower of the Cavaliers. They are also an offensive team, and their lineup is healthier, but they are considered to be only 1.8%, so they are still disgraced.
The Sixth Nuggets
Although the Nuggets have been 1-1 with the Thunder in the series so far, everyone should be optimistic about the second game of the series. The main reason why they can win the Thunder is that the Thunder has been distant for a long time and is not very adapted to the intensity of the playoffs. After they adapted, the Nuggets were also a little overwhelmed. They lost more than 40 points in one game, which has shown how big the gap between the two teams is. That is, because the Nuggets have the league's number one player, Jokic, so they ranked sixth. Otherwise, the probability of winning the championship may be lower, and their probability of winning the championship is 2.2%.
The fifth Knicks lead the Celtics 2-0 with a big score, but they are not optimistic about winning the championship. After the Knicks passed the first round of the playoffs, they played more resiliently. The Celtics led the score many times and were eventually overturned. The Knicks' lineup is well configured, especially their starting lineup. Now they are top-notch in the league, but their substitute strength is limited. The Celtics actually have an advantage against them, but this team relies too much on three-pointers, which has led to them being reversed frequently. The Knicks' probability of winning the championship is 4.3%.
The fourth Timberwolves
If Curry is not injured, the Timberwolves may be the last one now. This team is also lucky. They met the Lakers who have no big center in the first round, and the Warriors who are injured in the second round. Therefore, the Timberwolves' specific strength is still unknown. The team's lineup configuration is good, their lineup has no shortcomings, and the small lineup is excellent. However, the team's boss Edwards' offense is not stable and efficient. The Timberwolves' probability of winning the championship is 4.7%. I'm afraid it won't be far to enter the Western Conference Finals.
The Third Celtics
The Celtics are now behind 0-2 in a big score, and the defending champions are also beginning to be regarded as inferior. Although they are considered to be third in the league, the probability of winning is only 8.6%. You should know that many US media have previously believed that the probability of winning the championship is second in the league, second only to the Thunder. Now that the Knicks are playing like this, the outside world has also begun to be regarded as inferior. The two core players of the Celtics are old, and their physical fitness does not support them. They maintain a high-intensity level in all four quarters, and their ability to fight the Knicks is still very limited.
The Second Cavaliers
The Cavaliers are now 0-2 behind. Two teams that lost two home courts, but they entered the top two, which is enough to show that BBR's trust in them. One of the main reasons why the Cavaliers are now behind the Pacers is their injuries, not their own strength. The two stars Garland and Mobley are absent from the second game of the series, and they still play with their opponents to the end. As long as the Cavaliers can recover their health, they still have a chance to turn the tables. However, the Cavaliers' backcourt defense is too bad, which will hinder them from rushing to the championship, and the probability of winning is 12.8%.
The Thunder
The Thunder have been the most optimistic about the championship since the playoffs. They have only been in full swing in the series against the Nuggets, and they have not been in intensity at other times. In this case, they swept the Grizzlies and beat the Nuggets in a single game of 40 points in the second round, showing the level of the championship team, with top defense, and difficult to limit off offense. They are considered to be the probability of winning the championship as high as 63.8%, far exceeding other teams. There is no team with an average age of only 25 years old in history to win the championship. I hope the Thunder can create miracles.
Speaking of this, what do you want to say about these 8 teams? Welcome to leave a message for discussion.
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